KIC 9832227 is a contact binary star system in the constellation Cygnus, located about 2,060 light-years away. It is also identified as an eclipsing binary with an orbital period of almost 11 hours. [4] Incorrect 2022 merger prediction. A light curve for KIC 9832227, plotted from TESS data [6]
KIC 9832227 is a contact binary whose 11 hr orbital period is rapidly changing. Based on the apparent exponential decay of its period, the two stars were predicted to merge in early 2022 resulting in a rare red nova outburst. Fortunately KIC 832227 was observed in 2003 as part of the NASA Ames pre-Kepler Vulcan Project to search for transiting exoplanets. We find that the Vulcan timing ...
The median random uncertainty on individual measurements of KIC 9832227 was 5 mmag for data taken in New Mexico and 7 mmag for data taken in Grand Rapids. The reference stars used were KIC 9771791, KIC 9832338, KIC 9832411, and GSC 03543:01558. The aperture had a radius of 5 pixels, the gap a width of 2 pixels, and the sky annulus a width of 3 ...
KIC 9832227是一个位于天鹅座的密接双星系统,距离地球约2060光年。它是一个食双星,轨道周期接近11小时。之前预测该双星系统会在2022年发生合并,但实际并未发生。预测出现偏差的原因可能包括观测数据的不准确、双星系统内部动力学的复杂性、以及恒星质量转移和演化模型的不确定性。科学家们正在继续研究KIC 9832227,以更准确地预测其未来的行为。目前,没有新的合并预测时间。对于KIC 9832227的进一步研究和观测,科学家们将使用包括TESS和VULCAN项目在内的多种方法和工具。
天文学家通过什么技术手段和数据来监测KIC 9832227的轨道周期变化,并且如何修正预测误差的?
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